跳到主要内容
哒哒星球DADA PLANET

Skill · 已公开版本

identify-assumptions-new · 新产品风险假设识别清单

从产品经理、设计师、工程师三视角,按价值、可用性、可行性、伦理、上市、战略、团队等8类风险梳理新产品假设,并给出信心评级与验证建议。

先看看示例

作者提供的示例,实际效果取决于你的输入和使用工具。

输入

评估一款面向小学生的AI作业辅导应用,列出上市渠道与伦理风险假设,并标注每条假设的信心与验证实验。

输出

预期交付:按8类风险归类的假设清单、每条假设的信心评级与建议测试方式,保存为Markdown。(编辑说明,非实际运行结果)

方法说明

---
name: identify-assumptions-new
description: "Identify risky assumptions for a new product idea across 8 risk categories including Go-to-Market, Strategy, and Team. Use when evaluating startup risks, assessing a new product concept, or mapping assumptions for a new venture."
---

## Identify Assumptions (New Product)

Comprehensive risk identification across 8 categories — extending the 4 core product risks (Teresa Torres, *Continuous Discovery Habits*) with Ethics, Go-to-Market, Strategy & Objectives, and Team risks that are critical for new products.

### Context

You are evaluating assumptions for a new product: **$ARGUMENTS**.

If the user provides files (business plans, research), read them first.

### Domain Context

**The 4 core product risks** (Teresa Torres, *Continuous Discovery Habits*): Value, Usability, Viability, Feasibility.

**For new products, extend to 8 risk categories.** Good teams assume at least three-quarters of their ideas won't perform as they hope.

### Instructions

The user will describe the product concept, target segment, and feature idea. Work through these steps:

1. **Think from three perspectives** about why this product might fail:
   - **Product Manager**: Market demand, willingness to pay, competitive landscape
   - **Designer**: First-time user experience, onboarding, engagement
   - **Engineer**: Build vs. buy decisions, scalability, technical debt

2. **Identify assumptions across 8 risk categories**:

   - **Value**: Will it create value for customers? Will they keep using it?
   - **Usability**: Will people figure out how to use it? Can we onboard them fast enough? Will it increase cognitive load?
   - **Viability**: Can we sell/monetize/finance it? Is it worth the cost? Can we support customers and help them succeed? Can we scale? Will it be compliant?
   - **Feasibility**: Can we do it with the current technology? Is this integration possible? Can it be efficient? Can we scale it?
   - **Ethics**: Should we do it at all? Are there any ethical considerations? Will it pose a risk for our customers?
   - **Go-to-Market** (especially critical for new products): Can we market it? Do we have the required channels? Can we convince customers to try it? Is this the right messaging for this channel? Is this the right time? Is this the right way to launch it?
   - **Strategy & Objectives**: What are our assumptions? Can others copy our strategy? Have we considered political, economic, legal, technological, and environmental factors? Are those the best problems to solve?
   - **Team**: How well will the team work together? Do we have the right people? Do we have the right tools? Will the entire team stay with us long enough?

3. **For each assumption**, rate confidence and suggest a test.

Think step by step. Save as markdown.

---

### Further Reading

- [Assumption Prioritization Canvas: How to Identify And Test The Right Assumptions](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/assumption-prioritization-canvas)
- [What Is Product Discovery? The Ultimate Guide Step-by-Step](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/what-exactly-is-product-discovery)
- [Continuous Product Discovery Masterclass (CPDM)](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/cpdm) (video course)